Monday, September 21 2026

Brazil's coffee harvest accelerates but sales lag; market expected to recover after Congress rejects new tax rules

Brazil's new coffee crop harvest is progressing faster than in previous years, and the dry weather is both beneficial for processing and a cause for concern. However, sales progress is noticeably lagging, ports remain congested, and the government's earlier proposed changes to PIS/Cofins tax rules have further weighed on exports and farmers' willingness to sell. At the same time, the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against the real has brought inflationary pressure. The good news is that Brazil's Congress recently rejected the tax measure, allowing coffee and other agricultural products to continue enjoying tax benefits, and the slowdown in sales is expected to improve. This article will review the latest developments in harvesting, sales, ports, and policy, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]

Brazilian Coffee Exports Hit New High Again, Tax Policy Adjustments May Become a Future Concern

The latest report from the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council shows that Brazil's coffee exports reached 4.397 million bags in May, setting a new record for the month, with a year-on-year increase of nearly 80%, and foreign exchange earnings also hitting a historic high. Cumulative exports in the first 11 months of the 2023/24 harvest year have approached a historic peak, and this year is expected to break the cycle record. The surge in robusta coffee exports has become a highlight, but the La Niña phenomenon in the second half of the year may bring the threat of drought, and coupled with the Brazilian government's new rules tightening tax credits, this may put pressure on the cash flow and global competitiveness of exporting companies. [more…]

Brazil Adjusts PIS-Cofins Tax Credit Rules, Coffee and Other Agricultural Exports Under Pressure, Global Prices May Rise Further

The Brazilian government recently submitted an executive order to Congress aimed at tightening the rules for the use of federal PIS-Cofins tax credits, with the goal of closing tax loopholes across multiple industries and supporting the objective of eliminating the fiscal deficit this year. However, this move has met strong opposition from the agricultural sector, with exporters of coffee, meat, fruit, grains and other products expected to see revenues fall by 26.3 billion reais. The Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council pointed out that the new rules will increase corporate cash flow pressure and operating costs, potentially triggering food inflation and unemployment, and weakening the international competitiveness of Brazilian coffee. Meanwhile, severe weather in Vietnam has led to reduced production and already pushed up coffee futures prices, and a slowdown in Brazilian exports could further fuel the rally. Notably, Luckin Coffee has signed a memorandum of cooperation with the Brazilian side, planning to purchase about 120,000 tons of coffee beans over the next two years, which brings good news for Brazilian exports. Front Street Coffee reminds enthusiasts to pay attention to the impact of policy changes on the coffee market. [more…]

Brazil's coffee exports set a new single-month record in October—what lies ahead amid the dual challenges of logistics and climate?

The latest report from the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Council shows that although about 2.1 million bags of coffee beans were stranded at ports due to logistics problems at the end of September, Brazil's coffee exports in October still bucked the trend to hit a monthly record high of 4.926 million bags, up 11.6% year on year, with total export value reaching US$1.393 billion. Germany became the largest importer of Brazilian coffee beans in the first 10 months of this year, importing 6.64 million bags in total, accounting for 23.9%. However, multiple factors such as port congestion, ship delays, historic drought and forest fires, and the depreciation of the real are still constraining the subsequent development of Brazil's coffee industry, and the production and export prospects for the new crop season face uncertainty. [more…]

Kenya's Tax Increase Storm Hits Coffee Industry: Industry Plight Amid Declining Production and Policy Battles

The Kenyan coffee industry is facing a dual test of declining production and policy changes. A USDA report shows that due to heavy rain and reduced planting area, Kenya's coffee production in 2024/25 is expected to drop to 750,000 bags, a year-on-year decrease of 6.3%. Although the government plans to increase production by 55% to 102,000 metric tons by 2027 and has introduced support measures such as debt write-offs and a cherry fund, recent tax-increase protests and clashes triggered by a finance bill have cast a shadow over the industry's prospects. Coffee beans are traded in US dollars, and the 16% value-added tax will push up farmers' operating costs; new coffee regulations have led to processing plants halting operations, cherry rotting, and exports being hindered. Front Street Coffee notes that although the president has withdrawn the tax-increase plan, the industry still expresses concern about policy uncertainty. [more…]

Skip a Cup of Coffee a Day to Save for Retirement? Expert Advice Sparks Heated Debate: How to Balance Coffee Spending and Retirement Planning

As China's population aging process accelerates, the elderly care issues of the post-80s and post-90s generations are attracting increasing attention. Some experts suggest that young people should plan for retirement as early as possible—for example, by drinking one less 30-yuan cup of coffee each day, they could save nearly a thousand yuan a month, which happens to match the tax-advantaged contribution limit of the individual pension scheme. However, this suggestion has sparked widespread discussion on social media. For many young people, a 30-yuan cup of coffee every day is not a common expense, and the overall pressure of living costs is far from something that can be solved by skipping one cup of coffee. This article will explore the reality and controversy behind this topic from the perspectives of retirement data, individual pension policy, and the current state of coffee consumption. [more…]

Ireland Introduces a Takeaway Coffee Cup Tax: Starting at 20 Euro Cents, Aiming to End the Era of Single-Use Paper Cups

Ireland is brewing an environmental revolution targeting single-use takeaway coffee cups—a "latte levy" of at least 20 euro cents per cup, with the goal of becoming the first country in the world to say goodbye to disposable coffee cups. The president has signed the relevant bill, which is expected to take effect before the end of the year. Drawing on the success of the plastic bag levy introduced in 2002, the Irish government hopes to use economic measures to encourage consumers to bring their own cups. However, the reality of 200 million coffee cups discarded each year and opposition from nearly two-thirds of the public make this policy highly controversial. This article will sort out the details of the bill, the logic behind the levy, and public feedback, and will also include channels for coffee industry news. [more…]

Kenya's Supreme Court Rules 2023 Finance Act Constitutional, Coffee Industry Faces Dual Challenges of Taxation and EUDR

Kenya's Supreme Court overturned the Court of Appeal's ruling on August 20, finding the 2023 Finance Act constitutional—a move that had previously sparked large-scale protests in the capital Nairobi and other regions. The act doubles the fuel value-added tax, introduces a housing levy, and raises the top personal income tax rate. The opposition and civil society groups expressed deep disappointment, fearing a further rise in the cost of living. For the coffee industry, the tax increases have pushed up production and transportation costs, squeezing profit margins; more seriously, the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), set to take effect in January 2025, could deal a severe blow to Kenya's coffee exports. Currently, only about 30% to 40% of coffee is certified, while smallholder farmers are generally poorly informed about compliance requirements. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor developments in the producing regions. [more…]

A major strike by Brazilian tax officials has affected major ports, hindering customs clearance for coffee exports, and prices may rise slightly.

Tax auditors from Brazil's Federal Revenue Service launched a strike from January 22 to 26, affecting major import and export channels including the Port of Santos and Guarulhos International Airport. During the strike, only perishable, fresh, dangerous goods, and pharmaceuticals and foodstuffs can obtain customs clearance; green coffee beans, as a primary agricultural food product, are not included in the release list and will be temporarily detained. The Port of Santos is expected to be unable to process 6,500 import declarations and 4,000 export declarations, and the port had already been experiencing severe congestion due to aging equipment, lagging management, and insufficient manpower, with 76% of vessels delayed in December. Combined with the impact of the Red Sea situation, coffee prices may continue to edge upward in the short term. This article will outline the scope of the strike, the affected goods, and the chain reaction in the market, and includes Front Street Coffee-related recommendations. [more…]

Brazil's CECAFÉ reports a strong 39% surge in January coffee exports, with robusta skyrocketing fivefold, and a positive outlook for the new crop season.

The latest report from the Brazil Specialty Coffee Association (CECAFÉ) shows that Brazil's coffee exports got off to a strong start in January, with exports of 60-kg bags reaching 3.961 million bags, up 39% year-on-year, while foreign exchange revenue rose 30.4% in tandem to US$802.5 million. Robusta exports surged 503.5%, becoming the main growth engine, while Arabica and instant coffee also maintained stable shares. Despite ongoing logistics challenges such as the Red Sea shipping crisis, drought in the Panama Canal, and strikes at Brazil's Santos port, Brazil's coffee exports still showed resilience. Notably, major Robusta-producing countries such as Vietnam experienced supply gaps due to drought and delivery issues, creating substitution opportunities for Brazil. International investment bank Itaú BBA predicts that Brazil's coffee production in the 2024/25 season is expected to reach 69.4 million bags, up 4.6% from the previous year. Front Street Coffee will also continue to monitor Brazil coffee market trends and bring fresh information to enthusiasts. [more…]

Costa Drive-Thru Refusing Cyclists Sparks Controversy: Reasonable Policy or Discrimination?

In recent years, the grab-and-go consumption model has become increasingly popular, and many food and beverage brands have opened "drive-thru" lanes for this purpose. However, a cycling enthusiast was refused service at a Costa store in Scotland, on the grounds of "not being in a motor vehicle." This is not the first time Costa has sparked controversy over a similar incident. An almost identical situation occurred in 2020, when Costa explained that bicycles are not taxed or insured in the same way as motor vehicles, and was immediately rebutted by the British Cycling Federation. Behind the incident lies the delicate balance between convenience and fairness in drive-thru service. Front Street Coffee takes you through this hotly debated incident. [more…]

Fed cuts rates for the first time in four years, global coffee trade landscape may face new variables

On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point cut to the federal funds rate target range, bringing it to 4.75%-5.00%. This was the first rate cut since March 2020, marking a shift in U.S. monetary policy from tightening to easing. The move is expected to stimulate global economic recovery, lower financing costs, and have multiple effects on the coffee industry. Meanwhile, Brazil's central bank announced a rate hike of 0.25 percentage points the same day; combined with ongoing drought that has reduced coffee production, as well as a wave of stockpiling ahead of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) taking effect at the end of the year, Brazil's coffee exports have performed strongly, though the price outlook remains uncertain. This article will examine how these factors work together to affect the global coffee market. [more…]

Analysis of Flavor Characteristics of the Pacamara Variety in El Salvador's Coffee Regions and the Hot Spring Processing Method

El Salvador is an important coffee-producing country in Central America, known for its exceptionally well-balanced coffee, which is graded according to altitude. This article will guide you through the regional characteristics and grading of Salvadoran coffee, with a focus on the origins and flavor profile of the rare Pacamara variety, as well as the unique process of using natural hot spring water to process green beans. It also reviews the ups and downs of the country's coffee industry under the influence of war and policy, and the changes in exports after the government promoted privatization. The article also mentions related product information recommended by Front Street Coffee. [more…]

A Comprehensive Analysis of Costa Rican Coffee: From Introduction History to Eight Major Producing Regions and the Variety Classification System

Although Costa Rica is often jokingly referred to as a homophone of "Godzilla," it is a pivotal specialty coffee-producing country in Central America. Since the first coffee seedling was introduced from Cuba in 1729, this country has been inextricably linked with coffee. High altitudes, microclimates, and fertile volcanic soil provide exceptional growing conditions for Arabica. From government tax incentives encouraging cultivation, to legislation limiting production to Arabica only, to institutions like ICAFE and CATIE promoting quality improvement, Costa Rica has pursued a path of quality supremacy in coffee. This article will guide you through its introduction history, the terroir differences of its eight major producing regions, its main cultivated varieties, and its altitude-based grading system, along with Front Street Coffee's brewing recommendations. [more…]

Rain returns to Brazilian coffee-growing regions, production outlook improves but price direction remains uncertain

Brazil's coffee-growing regions have finally received effective rainfall, and the long-drought-stricken arabica-producing areas are expected to find relief in the new flowering season in November. However, months of extreme heat and water shortages have already caused substantial damage to production for the 2024/25 and 2025/26 crop years. Water levels in the Amazon basin remain at historic lows, and shipping disruptions are driving up logistics costs. At the same time, the sharp plunge in the real exchange rate, port delays, and the postponement of the EU's EUDR policy, among multiple interwoven factors, have filled the outlook for Brazil's coffee production and prices with uncertainty. This article reviews the latest weather developments, industry impacts, and chain reactions in the market, and includes Front Street Coffee's continued attention to origin information. [more…]

Exploring Costa Rican Coffee: A Full Analysis of Flavor Characteristics, Eight Major Regions, and Variety Classification

Costa Rica, a Central American country, nurtures consistently high-quality Arabica coffee thanks to its high altitude, fertile volcanic soil, and microclimates. Since the introduction of coffee in 1729, the local government has promoted the refined development of the coffee industry through policies such as tax exemptions, land incentives, and legislation mandating the cultivation of only Arabica. This article will guide you through Costa Rica's coffee cultivation history, the distribution of its eight major producing regions and their flavor differences, and provide an in-depth analysis of the characteristics of major varieties such as Caturra, Catuai, Geisha, and Bourbon. Finally, it includes brewing suggestions from Front Street Coffee to help you gain a comprehensive understanding of this Central American coffee powerhouse. [more…]

Severe rain warnings in seven Brazilian states spark concerns over new coffee crop yields, coffee futures prices climb again

Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology recently issued storm and heavy rain danger warnings for seven states, including Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Paraná, with expected rainfall of 50 to 100 millimeters per day and accompanied by strong winds of 60 to 100 kilometers per hour. Rainfall in northern São Paulo state has already accumulated to 90 millimeters, with local areas reaching up to 100 millimeters, and the risk of landslides and flooding has prompted the warning center to issue a yellow alert. Although no serious economic losses have been reported so far, the market is widely concerned that this round of severe weather will once again impact Brazil's new coffee crop production. The severe drought and forest fires from April to September had already damaged coffee trees during the flowering stage, leading many institutions to lower production forecasts and drive up coffee prices. This article will review key information such as Brazil's recent weather conditions, coffee futures trends, exchange rate impacts, and traders' credit risks. [more…]

A Complete Guide to Brazil's Specialty Coffee Regions: Varieties, Flavors, Grading, Processing Methods, and Brewing Guide

Brazil is the world's number one coffee producer and a region that cannot be overlooked in the specialty coffee world. This article systematically breaks down the distribution of coffee-producing regions in Brazil, its main varieties, flavor characteristics, grading standards, and processing methods, and provides a detailed introduction to the complete practical workflow from roasting and grinding to brewing. Whether you are a beginner pour-over enthusiast or a seasoned player looking for base beans for blends, you will find practical information about Brazilian coffee here. The article also specifically compiles Front Street Coffee's bean selection recommendations for Brazilian beans to help you more efficiently choose a Brazilian coffee that suits your taste. [more…]

From Berlin's first coffeehouse to the world's second-largest consumer nation: the historical trajectory of German coffee culture and the Latin American cultivation landscape

In 1721, the first coffeehouse opened in Berlin, marking the beginning of Germany's coffee industry, which started slowly amid policy restrictions but rose rapidly in the 19th century through Latin American plantations and immigrant networks. German merchants once controlled more than 80 percent of Guatemala's coffee bean exports, and two world wars caused this coffee domain to rise and fall several times. After the war, Germany's economy recovered, and its position in the coffee trade was rebuilt accordingly. Today Germany is the world's second-largest coffee-consuming country, and its per capita consumption far exceeds that of the United States. This article sorts out the complete thread of German coffee culture from its budding beginnings and expansion to its revival, and is suitable for readers interested in coffee history and the industrial landscape to savor carefully. [more…]